USA Biofuels Industry is Booming

The biofuels industry in the U.S. is booming.

That’s what Rystad Energy stated in a release sent to Rigzone recently, adding that a “fresh surge in production is just around the corner thanks to increased demand for renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) in the coming years”.

Rystad noted in the release that its research predicts biofuel production in the U.S. will increase by about 53 percent by the middle of next decade, “jumping from 850,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) in 2023 to about 1.3 million boepd in 2035”.

“Domestic output is expected to surpass one million boepd as early as 2026,” the company added.

As governments and industry strive to decarbonize the transportation sector, the role of biofuels will continue to expand, Rystad noted in the release.

“Widely considered a core component of the energy transition, these plant-based alternatives to traditional fuels like gasoline and diesel could play a fundamental role in limiting emissions from road vehicles, shipping, and aviation,” the company said in the release.

“For instance, SAFs are almost identical to conventional jet fuel but produced using plant-based feedstocks like fats, oils, and agricultural and municipal waste,” it added.

“As their usage requires minimal aircraft and logistical modifications, SAFs could significantly reduce the aviation industry’s emissions impact,” it continued.

Focusing on 2035, Rystad said in the release that the U.S. is expected to dominate production of both ethanol and diesel, as well as advanced biofuels.

“The U.S. will produce about 1.3 million boepd of biofuels in 2035, 40 percent of the total global output,” it noted.

“Of that 1.3 million boepd, advanced fuels will account for about 50 percent of domestic production,” it continued.

Europe and Brazil will be the next biggest producers, but “significantly behind the U.S.”, according to Rystad. Europe is expected to produce about 580,000 boepd in 2035 and Brazil is expected to produce 510,000 boepd, Rystad outlined in the release.

“Biofuels look likely to play a crucial role in the future low-carbon energy world, and the U.S. is uniquely positioned to capitalize,” Artem Abramov, the head of clean tech research at Rystad Energy, said in the release.

“The market’s momentum has gathered in recent years, and its growth is assured through the end of this decade, but some uncertainty remains into the 2030s,” Abramov added.

Rystad highlighted in the release that its output forecast uses the company’s base case expectations for technology advancements, electric vehicle (EV) adoption, and the availability of biofuel feedstock, and said it assumes existing policy support remains in place.

The company pointed out that it has also mapped out two other scenarios – a high case and a low case. The high case assumes rapid technological advances, slower EV adoption, favorable biofuels policy, and ample feedstock availability, while the low case assumes slower technological development, faster EV adoption, reversed biofuel policy support, and feedstock supply challenges, the release outlined.

According to a chart included in the release, Rystad’s high case sees biofuel production above 1.6 million boepd in 2035 and its low case sees this output at around one million boepd in 2035. The chart showed that U.S. biofuel production was at around 600,000 boepd back in 2012. Rystad’s U.S. biofuel forecasts include ethanol, biodiesel, renewable diesel, and SAF, the chart revealed.

The Energy Institute’s (EI) latest statistical review of world energy, which was released last year, shows that the U.S. was the largest producer of biofuels in 2022, with 728,000 boepd. That figure represented a 6.3 percent year on year rise and 38.1 percent of total biofuel production in 2022, the review highlighted.

From 2012 to 2022, U.S. biofuel production has grown by an annual average of 3.2 percent, according to the review.

Brazil ranked second in terms of biofuel production in 2022, with 409,000 boepd, and Indonesia ranked third, with 174,000 boepd, the review showed. Brazil’s output represented 21.4 percent of total biofuel production in 2022, while Indonesia’s represented 9.1 percent, the review pointed out.

The EI’s biofuel production figures include biogasoline, such as ethanol, and biodiesel.

by Rigzone Staff / Andreas Exarheas, Monday, April 01, 2024

Oil majors recap: How is 2024 treating Shell, BP, Exxon and Chevron?

For the big four of oil and gas, the first three months of 2024 have largely been taken up with stock-takes from the previous year.

Full-year results season for UK supermajors BP and Shell, as well as US giants Exxon and Chevron, did not bring the riches of 2023.

All suffered double-digit return falls at the hands of more stabilised oil prices, but investors were kept satiated through the promise of hefty buyback programmes.

The oil behemoth led its peers across the board, with $36bn (£28.5bn) in earnings during 2023, $55bn (£43.5bn) in cash flow from operations and a total of $17.5bn (£13.8bn) of buybacks last year.

It remains the unassailable king of the peer group as the world’s largest investor-owned oil company and shows little sign of giving up its crown anytime soon.

The group plans to go steady on an expected, yet modest, demand in the rise for crude oil in 2024, forecasting a less-than-2 per cent production increase for the year.

This would result in an average net production of about 3.8m barrels of oil equivalent per day (mboe/d) in 2024, versus 3.74mboe/d in 2023.


And while the world is caught up on 2030 net zero targets, Exxon has a milestone for that year of its own that it is already beginning to work towards.

The firm is ahead of schedule with its plan to double the size of its liquefied natural gas LNG portfolio to 40m tons per year (mtpa) by 2030.

This wouldn’t put it on par with rivals and LNG-leader Shell in terms of size, but the group sees the potential to succeed through other metrics.

“We want to have the leading LNG portfolio in the world in terms of its financial robustness and financial returns and I would say we’re well on the way to doing it,” the company’s senior vice president for global LNG, Peter Clarke said last week.

Additionally, Exxon is due a big windfall in 2024 when its $64bn (£50.6bn) splash on Pioneer Natural Resources, announced at the tail end of last year, completes in a few months time.

It’s estimated that the move will likely more than double the company’s Permian Basin footprint.

Chevron: America’s little brother

Chevron is playing little brother in the US fossil fuel game, but playing it well.

The firm was beaten into third place for 2023 earnings by Exxon and Shell, returning $21.4bn (£16.9bn), a 39 per cent slide on the previous year.

Part of its plan to climb the petrogiant leader board is to go hard on oil and gas spending, with an $18.5-19.5bn (£14.6-15.4bn) tranche for this financial year alone.

In context, this is more than the $14-18bn (£11-14bn) BP has scoped to spend annually on its building its entire energy portfolio between now and 2030.

Chevron is also waiting on a windfall of its own from the pending $53bn (£41.9bn) buy of Hess at the end of last year, a move that boosts its US and Guyana footprints.

Shell: Easy does it

Shell meanwhile, through its chief executive Wael Sawan, has been clear to its shareholders and the public that it will invest prudently and scrupulously in projects that return value to investors.

The firm recently caught some flak when it revealed that it was dropping a 2035 emissions target to reduce carbon intensity of its products by 45 per cent due to “uncertainty in the pace of the energy transition”.

The group also added the equivalent of 200,000 barrels of oil and gas production to its target output, and it plans to start enough new fossil fuel projects to add half a million barrels a day to its oil and gas production by 2025.

BP: A crisis of identity

BP has a lingering identity issue it’s struggling to shake off, amidst reports of growing investor disquiet over proposals to expand its clean energy portfolio.

The company has struggled to keep within remote touching distance of Shell in recent years.

Former chief executive Bernard Looney laid the groundwork for a future BP that embraced the energy transition, a move that his successor Murray Auchincloss seems to have partially retained.

But there is reportedly a groundswell of investor ire at BP’s pursuit of this strategy, one that activist investor Bluebell has been and is continuing to try and stoke further.

A greener future for Big Oil?

In an ironic twist, it was the petrostate of Dubai and its COP 28 summit held last year that seems to have instigated a feeling globally to energy transition moving.

And while the energy industry still largely feels like an echo chamber, more of the shouting seems to be leaking out into the worlds of big business and politics.

But for as long as big oil is seen to be investing in clean energy, to whatever extent, its conscience is clear.

Fossil fuel profits will keep coming for the foreseeable future, in part because their largest operators say they cannot profitably perform an instant pivot to renewable energy projects.

“Roll the clock back four or five years ago, they were like: ‘Oh, it’s all going to be renewables and batteries’ — and now they’re saying: ‘Wow, wow, this is going to be way too expensive,” Alan Armstrong, head of the US’ largest gas pipeline company, Williams, told the Financial Times last week.

Shell’s Sawan has echoed this sentiment saying that until low carbon initiatives become “commercially available,” it will continue to invest in oil and gas, but with lower emissions.

Exxon’s chief Darren Woods went one further earlier this month, telling Fortune Magazine that the high cost of clean energy transition is the “dirty secret” that the public cannot or will not accept.

For investors, particularly of Shell, Exxon and Chevron, the sentiment is likely welcome news, for now at least.

Each is pretty set on their respective courses for this year; maximise profitability, diversify where possible, make it clear that renewable energy projects are risk-ridden.

The public’s ‘they are not doing enough’ charge as it pertains to the big four’s green priorities tends to spike four times a year, coinciding with results reporting milestones.

But this year, with November’s US and UK elections sitting on a bedrock of future energy policies, it’s fair to assume that the group might find themselves increasingly in the spotlight as 2024 rolls on.

By: Cityam.com / RHODRI MORGAN, SUNDAY 31 MARCH 2024 

Fives Selected for Renewable Energy Storage Project

Fives has been selected by the Chinese company Zhonglv Zhongke Energy Storage Technology Co for the supply of cryogenic equipment as part of the largest renewable energy storage project on an industrial scale.

The storage unit operated by Zhonglv Zhongke Energy Storage Technology Co will be installed in the region of Golmud, in the Qinghai province, in the northwest of China, and is planned to be commissioned at the end of 2024. It is the first project in the world at an industrial scale using the LAES technology (liquid air energy storage). The unit will store 60MW of solar energy which will be redistributed into the grid to power the needs of the region’s industries and homes.

This pilot is intended to be developed worldwide with Zhonglv Zhongke Energy Storage Technology Co which ambition is to become a leader in the large-scale long-term energy storage market, notably thanks to Fives’ support. The LAES technology is an efficient and sustainable option to lithium-ion batteries currently used to store alternative energies.

At the heart of the LAES technology, six heat exchangers supplied by Fives will liquify the air required to stock the solar energy produced so it can be released at a given time. These heat exchangers are produced in Fives’ workshops in Golbey, in the East of France.

‘This ambitious project is another proof of Fives’ ability to support change in the industry and the emergence of decarbonized energy sources. A technological leader in cryogenics for over 65 years, Fives designs key equipment to optimize the performance of its customers and reduce CO2.emissions,’ explains Vincent Pourailly, president of the business line energy cryogenics at Fives.

‘The energy storage market offers vast opportunities for new applications, with LAES technology seeming the most efficient solution for a more sustainable world. We are happy to work with Fives on this breakthrough project which will see the building of the largest demonstration project in the field of LAES and also the largest energy storage project on a global scale,’ declares Dr Wei JI, chief scientist at Zhonglv Zhongke Energy Storage Technology Co, Ltd.

By: Tank Storage / Anamika Talwaria, March 28, 2024

Traders Are Buying Oil At The Fastest Rate Since 2020

After months of skepticism, traders seem to have finally realized that OPEC+ is serious about keeping crude oil supply constrained.

Per the latest weekly data from Reuters, as reported by market analyst John Kemp, traders are buying oil at the fastest rate since 2020. And oil prices are on the rise.

Of course, OPEC is not the only factor behind the change in sentiment among traders. Refinery disruptions in Russia resulting from Ukrainian drone attacks have also had a lot to do with the growing bullishness on oil markets. Recent reports that the U.S. had urged the Ukrainians to stop targeting Russian refineries and the Ukrainians’ refusal to do so probably reinforced the effect, too.

There is also the improvement in analysts’ outlooks for the global economy. The picture seems to no longer be as bleak as it was last year, so oil demand projections are improving. A month ago, the International Monetary Fund revised upwards its forecast for the global economy, and so did S&P Global Market Intelligence. So traders are once again buying oil in significant volumes.

According to the Reuters numbers, in the week ending March 19, traders bought the equivalent of 140 million barrels across the six most traded crude and fuel contracts. Crude was the most bought, with 57 million barrels in West Texas Intermediate changing hands during that week along with 55 million barrels of Brent crude.

Escalating geopolitical tension, coupled with a rise in attacks on energy facilities in Russia and Ukraine, alongside receding ceasefire hopes in the Middle East, raised concern over global oil supply,” Nissan Securities analyst Hiroyuki Kikukawa told Reuters in comments on the latest movements in prices.

Yet while geopolitical factors play a big role in day-to-day price swings, the OPEC+ cuts normally have a longer-term effect-once it kicks in, and this time, it took a while.

Saudi Arabia first announced in July that it would reduce the amount of oil it supplies to global markets. Some saw it as insignificant, while others dismissed it as a desperate attempt to prop up the unproppable as prices remained stubbornly stuck within a narrow range below $80 per barrel.

Yet later, the rest of OPEC and its Russia-led partners also joined the Saudis-and prices still remained locked in their range. The factors that kept them there were the same that are now fueling the rally: a pessimistic outlook for the global economy, geopolitical tensions that weren’t affecting oil supply, and general skepticism about demand in the era of the energy transition.

The tide only began to turn this year as the outlook for global GDP began to change, with the first data about 2023 starting to come in. In some places, things were as bad as they seemed, such as the eurozone. In other parts of the world, however, such as the United States, the economy performed better than most expected, sparking hope that this year could be better still. And that shifted traders’ attention from demand to supply.

There had been warnings about shrinking oil inventories amid the OPEC+ cuts but those got little attention until the change in economic outlook. Now, there’s suddenly concern about a deficit that even the IEA acknowledged, after a month ago confidently stating that the oil market was comfortably supplied.

So now prices are on the rise again and Morgan Stanley has already forecast that Brent will hit $90 per barrel later in the year. “Every month that OPEC discipline remains in-place, Brent flat price will likely continue to catch up with where inventories and time spreads already are,” the bank said. It’s safe to say that OPEC discipline will remain in place for quite a while yet.

By Oilprice / Irina Slav – Mar 26, 2024

Texas energy companies are betting hydrogen can become a cleaner fuel for transportation

This is the first of a three-part series on emerging energy sources and Texas’ role in developing them. You can read part two, on geothermal energy, here, and part three, on nuclear energy, here.

JEFFERSON COUNTY — A concrete platform with fading blue paint marks the birthplace of the modern oil and gas industry in southeast Texas. Weather-beaten signs describe how drillers tapped the Spindletop oil well in 1901, a discovery that launched petroleum giants Texaco, Mobil and Gulf Oil.

Nearby, a red pipeline traces a neat path above flat, gravel-covered earth. French company Air Liquide started building this unassuming facility, with a wellhead and other machinery, on the iconic site in 2014 to store what it believes will be key to an energy revolution: hydrogen.

The ground that once released millions of barrels of oil now holds some 4.5 billion cubic feet of highly pressurized hydrogen. The gas is contained in a skyscraper-shaped cavern that reaches about a mile below ground within a subterranean salt dome.

Hydrogen promoters see the gas as a crucial part of addressing climate change. If it’s produced in a way that creates few or no greenhouse gas emissions, it could provide an eco-friendly fuel for cars, planes, 18-wheelers and ships, and could power energy-intensive industries such as steel manufacturing. Hydrogen emits only water when used as fuel in fuel cells; burning it directly can create nitrogen oxides, which can create haze and acid rain..

If companies can produce clean hydrogen at a price that’s competitive with gasoline or diesel, supporters say it would revolutionize the fuel industry.

That’s a big if.

Hydrogen is among the most common elements in the universe, but on Earth it’s typically found bonded with something else, such as carbon. Today, hydrogen is often obtained by isolating it from methane, a mix of carbon and hydrogen that is the main component of natural gas. This process leaves behind carbon dioxide, which worsens climate change if released into the air.

Engineers say it’s possible to clean up that process by catching the extra carbon dioxide and reusing it — to get more oil out of a well, for example — or injecting it into the earth to store it. Another less polluting method is to split hydrogen from water, which is made up of hydrogen and oxygen, using electricity generated by wind, solar or nuclear power.

Texas has emerged as a leader in producing hydrogen the cheaper way using abundant supplies of natural gas without capturing the carbon dioxide. Air Liquide makes hydrogen at facilities along the state’s coast, from Beaumont to Corpus Christi. More than 100 miles of pipelines move that hydrogen to companies that buy it for processes such as removing sulfur from crude oil.

Little hydrogen is made from gas with carbon capture or from water in the state — or the rest of the country.

Some academics, policy advisers and companies that make hydrogen say Texas and the Gulf Coast should be where hydrogen created with fewer emissions takes off. A majority of the country’s hydrogen pipelines are already here, Texas’ petrochemical workers have skills that easily transfer to hydrogen production — which involves chemical reactions — and the state has the natural gas and renewable energy needed to produce it.

“We can be the breadbasket for not only the U.S. but for the world in providing hydrogen,” said Bryan Fisher, a managing director with RMI, a nonprofit that supports the clean energy transition.

But producing enough hydrogen cheaply, building the pipelines to move it and the subterranean caverns to store it and finding the customers to buy it requires companies to take some financial risk.

That effort is getting a boost from the federal government, which is offering billions of dollars’ worth of tax credits to kick-start production of hydrogen from gas with carbon capture or water. The government also plans to divide as much as $7 billion among seven regional clusters of projects to build hydrogen infrastructure, including up to $1.2 billion for projects in Texas and Louisiana that plan to make hydrogen largely from natural gas.

Competing to break into the industry are traditional fossil fuel companies, including Chevron and ExxonMobil. Hydrogen advocates say interest by the oil giants is good because they have the money and expertise to tackle such an ambitious project.

But environmental groups doubt that fossil fuel companies can make hydrogen from natural gas as cleanly as they say they can. They worry the federal funding will prop up oil and gas companies, when the emphasis should be on making hydrogen from water or creating clean power another way.

“Producing hydrogen from natural gas is not clean, not low-carbon and cannot and should not be considered a solution in our efforts to solve the world’s worsening climate change crisis,” David Schlissel, the co-author of a report from the Institute for Energy, Economics and Financial Analysis, said in a webinar.

Sitting in a mobile office at the Spindletop site, Katie Ellet, president of hydrogen energy and mobility for Air Liquide, urged critics not to be so puritanical about hydrogen production. She described hydrogen as part of a centuries-long evolution toward progressively cleaner fuels: coal replaced wood, then oil replaced coal.

Ellet believes now is hydrogen’s Spindletop moment. She believes the technology, economics and interest are in place to allow the industry to boom.

“We transition through these different energy cycles,” Ellet said. “And we’ve gotten better. We’ve learned, and we’ve gotten better. This is us … evolving into that next generation.”

Hydrogen hype grows in Texas

One weekday in October, Brian Weeks, senior director of business development at GTI Energy, walked onto a Houston hotel’s conference room stage to discuss hydrogen. GTI Energy used to be known as the Gas Technology Institute and researched natural gas. Now it promotes low-carbon energy.

Weeks faced a standing-room-only crowd at the Hydrogen North America event. He remembered when, maybe a decade earlier, only seven people at a conference showed up to hear him speak on the topic.

People have predicted hydrogen was about to take off before. Weeks worked on the idea off and on since the late 1990s, when he was at Texaco and the company believed hydrogen could power cars. At the time, they worried energy prices would keep rising. Weeks recalled it as a heady time for hydrogen, with actors from the hit TV series Baywatch starring in promotional videos.

But hydrogen didn’t catch. Technology for producing it remained expensive, while oil production instead got a giant boost. Hydraulic fracturing technology allowed the United States to rapidly increase how much oil it produced.

Still, Weeks wouldn’t have spent so much of his life on hydrogen if he didn’t believe it had a future, he said. Like Ellet, he said the circumstances feel different now. That’s in large part because of the federal government’s big investment: By 2030, the Biden administration wants America to produce 10 million metric tons per year of hydrogen made from water using renewable energy or from gas using carbon storage — about how much is produced now largely from gas without carbon capture.

“It’s been a roller coaster, really, for the last at least 20 years,” Weeks said in an interview.

Over the past few years, Weeks has helped a coalition of businesses, researchers and others apply for the federal funding earmarked in the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act for regional hydrogen projects, called “hydrogen hubs.”

Nine projects centered in Houston sought money as a single hub, and on Oct. 13, the Department of Energy announced that they and six other applicants from across the country won. As part of the Houston group, Chevron wants to make low-carbon hydrogen and ammonia, which is used in fertilizer. ExxonMobil wants to build hydrogen pipelines and fueling stations for trucks.

The Gulf Coast projects aimed to produce more than 1.8 million metric tons of hydrogen per year, more than any of the other winning hubs. Some 80% would be made from natural gas.

Local and state leaders are cheering on the industry’s growth. Brett Perlman, CEO of the nonprofit Center for Houston’s Future, supported the hydrogen hub effort. Perlman’s job is to consider Houston’s economy and what will happen to it as the world works to address climate change and wean itself off fossil fuels.

Perlman wrestles with how to make Houston the low-carbon energy capital of the world. He speaks at conferences, too, to build the case that hydrogen should be part of maintaining the city’s success.

“The energy transition is going to happen, and Houston will have a role,” Perlman said at his office. “The real question is can Houston be, continue to be, a leader?”

Back at the same conference where Weeks spoke, Texas Public Utility Commissioner Lori Cobos, whose agency regulates the electricity industry, explained that because it has huge natural gas reserves and is a top producer of wind and solar energy, Texas is “uniquely positioned to be a national and global leader in hydrogen.”

The easy path to selling hydrogen made in these new ways would be to start by converting places already using hydrogen for purposes such as making fertilizer, refining petroleum and treating metals. But even more environmental benefits would come if it could also be used in new applications, said John Hensley, vice president of markets and policy analysis for the industry advocacy group American Clean Power Association.

Hydrogen believers envision the fuel could decarbonize industries that are considered hard to electrify. Hydrogen would power planes and trucks that heavy electric batteries would slow down. It would supply the high heat needed to make cement that electricity could not provide.

The new federal tax incentives get hydrogen close, if not all the way, to being able to compete with fossil fuels on price, said Fisher of RMI. The government plans to pay up to $3 per kilogram of what it defines as clean hydrogen, such as that made from water, or up to $85 per metric ton of stored carbon dioxide that’s captured after making hydrogen from natural gas.

With the subsidies, producing hydrogen from water would cost generally from $4 to $6 per kilogram, and producing it from natural gas would cost generally from $2 to $4, Fisher said. He stressed that it would depend on the specifics of the project. The government’s goal is to get the cost to $1 per kilogram for both types.

Environmental groups and critics raise concerns 

The hydrogen solution does not sound so promising to environmental groups, especially when it comes to making it from natural gas using carbon capture. A number of critics came together in a windowless Houston conference room of their own later in October to build the case to journalists that carbon capture in hydrogen production shouldn’t be seen as a way to address climate change but instead as a boost to the oil and gas industry.

“This is not a transfer off of fossil fuel dependency,” said Jane Patton, campaign manager for U.S. fossil economy at the Center for International Environmental Law. “This is a perpetuation of fossil fuel dependency.”

With money from the Rockefeller Family Fund, which has an initiative focused on slowing oil and gas production because it drives climate change, organizers brought in the big guns to tell the other side of the story. The day began with a speech from Bob Bullard, founding director of the Bullard Center for Environmental and Climate Justice at Texas Southern University, known by many as the father of environmental justice.

Bullard has passionately told many versions of the same narrative. He pioneered his environmental justice work decades ago when he highlighted that the city of Houston primarily built its trash incinerators and landfills in Black neighborhoods. And he brought attention to one example after another of companies polluting poor communities of color rather than wealthy, white ones.

Now a member of the White House Environmental Justice Advisory Council, Bullard said he’s seen no proof that a build-out of hydrogen and carbon storage will be any better for local communities than the expansion of the petrochemical industry was over the past century, bringing more pollution than benefits to surrounding communities. He continued to call for a federal study to find out whether hydrogen production with carbon capture is safe for the people who live around it.

“You’re asking the same people to sacrifice in the same way,” Bullard said at the event. “Can we trust the oil and gas industry to be truthful? I don’t have to write a book on that. We know the answer.”

Schlissel, the director of resource planning analysis for the Institute for Energy, Economics and Financial Analysis, believes the government is using a badly built model to judge how clean hydrogen projects are when they’re evaluated for federal support.

One problem is that the model inappropriately leaves out the fact that hydrogen pipelines could leak, Schlissel says. Hydrogen can react with the molecule that breaks down harmful methane in the atmosphere and make the methane last longer, contributing to climate change.

Schlissel also says the model assumes companies can catch a lot of carbon dioxide — which he believes is totally unrealistic. While companies using carbon capture technology don’t typically publicize their capture rates, Schlissel and his colleagues dug up what they could and concluded that the technology was far short of where it needs to be.

Speakers at the event also expressed little confidence in the Railroad Commission of Texas, which regulates the state’s oil and gas industry, to regulate hydrogen pipelines and underground storage. Commission Shift, a watchdog group that calls for reforming the Railroad Commission, says the agency has a poor track record when it comes to protecting Texans from explosions, leaks and other problems with wells and pipelines.

In a statement, commission spokesperson Patty Ramon said the agency has “protected public safety and the environment for more than a century.” The agency does pipeline inspections regularly and has exceeded Legislative performance goals, Ramon added.

These advocates are up against wealthy, politically powerful companies that say making hydrogen from natural gas with carbon capture is a ready solution to start lowering how much carbon dioxide escapes into the atmosphere — even if it’s imperfect.

“I find this polarization of seeking perfect at the expense of very good is problematic,” Chris Greig, a senior research scientist with the Andlinger Center for Energy and the Environment at Princeton University, said in an interview.

“And, to be clear, the distrust (of oil and gas companies) is not unwarranted, right? There’s been some wrongs done,” Greig added. “But somehow we have to set that aside and find some sort of middle ground.”

BY texastribune / Emily Foxhall, MARCH 25, 2024

Chevron Is Following Leaders ExxonMobil and Occidental Petroleum to Capture This $5 Trillion Potential Opportunity

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) could become a vital solution to hlping reduce carbon emissions. This means it has the potential to be a massive commercial opportunity.

ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) sees CCS growing into a $4 trillion global market by 2050, while Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) believes it could become a $3 trillion to $5 trillion global industry. That’s leading those oil giants to invest heavily to capture this emerging and potentially very lucrative opportunity.

Fellow oil giant Chevron (NYSE: CVX) also wants to capture a slice of the global CCS market. It recently signed an agreement to evaluate a potential CCS solution for Japan. Here’s a look at some of the projects these oil stocks have under development.

Another step toward its lower carbon ambitions

Chevron signed a memorandum of understanding with Japan’s JX Nippon Oil & Gas Exploration to evaluate exporting carbon dioxide from Japan to storage projects in the Asia-Pacific region. The companies will study the feasibility of building a CCS value chain, including capturing the greenhouse gas from industrial sources in Japan, including affiliates of JX, and transporting it by ship to storage sites operated by Chevron in Australia. The partners would also evaluate other potential storage sites throughout the Asia-Pacific region.

CCS represents a potential win-win solution for Chevron and other energy and industrial companies. It could enable them to continue operating their legacy businesses for decades to come while reducing the impact fossil fuel usage has on the environment.

Chevron has committed to spending $10 billion on lower-carbon investments and projects by 2028, including CCS, hydrogen, and renewable fuels. The company is developing several potential CCS projects across the Americas and Asia-Pacific region. For example, it’s part of a joint venture aiming to develop Bayou Bend, one of the large carbon storage projects in the U.S. It’s also part of joint ventures evaluating massive offshore greenhouse gas storage projects in Australia that encompass subsurface areas the size of Denmark.

A step behind the leaders

Most of Chevron’s projects are still in the evaluation stages. That puts it at risk of falling behind rivals Exxon and Occidental Petroleum, which have projects under construction secured by commercial contracts.

Occidental is currently building the world’s largest direct air capture project in Texas, which will be capable of capturing 500,000 tons of carbon dioxide per year from the air. The company formed a joint venture with a fund managed by BlackRock, which will invest $550 million into the project. The Stratos project is already under construction and should begin commercial operations next year. Occidental is commercializing the facility by selling carbon credits to several customers.

Exxon is taking a different approach. It focuses on transporting and storing carbon dioxide captured directly at the emissions source.

In 2022, Exxon signed a landmark commercial agreement with CF Industries to capture and permanently store 2 million metric tons of carbon dioxide annually from its manufacturing complex in Louisiana starting next year. Exxon will transport the gas via pipelines operated by EnLink Midstream to a sequestration site the oil giant is developing. Exxon has gone on to sign several additional commercial agreements with large industrial customers.

In addition, it paid nearly $5 billion to buy Denbury Resources, primarily for its carbon dioxide pipeline infrastructure. Exxon now has the largest owned and operated carbon dioxide pipeline network in the country. It also has access to 15 strategically located onshore storage sites in the country.

Exxon and Occidental Petroleum believe their CCS businesses could be huge moneymakers. Occidental thinks it could eventually generate as much earnings and cash flow from these operations as it currently does from producing oil and gas. Meanwhile, Exxon believes CCS could be a multibillion-dollar annual revenue stream. Further, long-term contracts will serve as the commercial foundation of the business, which will supply Exxon with more predictable cash flow than it produces from oil and gas.

Looking for ways to capture a slice of this enormous opportunity

Chevron continues to evaluate potential CCS projects. The oil giant wants to find commercially viable opportunities that would benefit the environment and its business. While it currently lags behind leaders Exxon and Occidental, the opportunity is so potentially vast that there’s plenty of room for Chevron to secure needle-moving opportunities. That upside adds to its long-term investment appeal.

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By: The Motley Fool, Wednesday March 20, 2024 

Oil to Trade at $85-$90 Next Quarter Even Without OPEC+ Cuts, Gunvor Says

Oil prices likely will trade at about $85-$90 a barrel in the third quarter even if OPEC+ producers and allies decide not to extend current supply cuts, said Gunvor Group Ltd.’s global head of research and analysis.

If Saudi Arabia and allies extend cuts beyond the second quarter, that could send prices even higher, Frederic Lasserre said during the CERAWeek by S&P Global conference in Houston. Cuts beyond the second quarter currently are not planned.

Ample supplies largely have kept international oil prices in the range of $80 a barrel this year even as conflict in the Middle East disrupts regional shipping and Russia’s war with Ukraine escalates.

Read More: Gunvor Says Drones Shut 600,000 Barrels of Russian Refining

“The Saudis have no choice but to switch back into this swing-producer kind of role and try to manage supply at very short term if they want to stabilize prices around $80,” Lasserre said.

Prices remain vulnerable to spikes, especially as geopolitical risks are elevated with two wars and disruptions at vital trade routes at the Panama Canal and Red Sea, Lasserre and Trafigura Group’s global head of oil Ben Luckock warned. 

Meanwhile, oil demand from China is expected to increase by about 700,000 barrels a day this year, representing about 50% of total global demand growth this year, Lasserre said. 

By: Bloomberg News / Devika Krishna Kumar, Mar 19, 2024

Shell weakens 2030 carbon cut target, sets new goal for oil product emissions

Slower-than-expected power sales growth hits net carbon intensity target

Targets 15%-20% Scope 3 emissions cut by 2030 from oil products vs 2021

Comes amid focus on growth of low-carbon fuel sales such as SAF, hydrogen

Shell weakened its main 2030 carbon reduction target March 14 but said it remains focused on net-zero emissions by 2050, despite a slower pace of power sales growth amid an ongoing shift away from traditional oil-based fuels.

In the first update to its main energy transition targets since 2021, Shell said it will target a 15%-20% cut in the net carbon intensity of its energy products by 2030 compared with 2016 levels. It had previously aimed for a 20% cut by 2030. The company said it now plans to reduce the net carbon intensity of the energy products it sells by 9-12% by 2024, 9-13% by 2025, 15-20% by 2030, and 100% by 2050.

In line with our shift to prioritizing value over volume in power, we are concentrating on select markets and segments,” Shell said. “One example is our focus on commercial customers more than retail customers. Given this focus on value, we expect growth in total power sales to 2030 will be lower than previously planned.”

Europe’s biggest integrated energy major also scrapped a 2035 target of a 45% reduction in net carbon intensity, citing “uncertainty in the pace of change in the energy transition.”

But Shell set itself a new target to cut the carbon emissions from the use of its oil products by 2030 as it sells less gasoline and diesel and ramps up production of low-carbon products such as biofuels and hydrogen.

Shell said it plans to reduce customer, or Scope 3, emissions from the use of its oil products by 15%-20% by 2030 compared with 2021 levels. The cut would mean a fall of more than 40% in Scope 3 emissions from its oil products compared with 2016 levels, Shell said.

“Achieving this ambition will mean reducing sales of oil products, such as petrol and diesel, as we support customers as they move to electric mobility and lower-carbon fuels, including natural gas, LNG and biofuels,” Shell said in its latest energy transition strategy.

Operating emissions

Under its previous energy transition targets, Shell was planning to reduce its production of traditional fuels by 55% by 2030 as it provides more low-carbon fuels such as biofuels for road transport and aviation, and hydrogen. Shell is also shrinking its global refining footprint to four core, integrated energy and chemicals sites by repurposing its remaining refineries.

Like many of its energy major peers, Shell plans to grow its production and sales of biofuels in the coming years, including premium biofuels such as sustainable aviation fuel, renewable diesel and renewable natural gas. Shell is already one of the world’s largest energy traders and blenders of biofuels, selling more low-carbon fuels than it produces. In 2023, around 9.7 billion liters of biofuels went into Shell’s road fuels worldwide, compared with 9.5 billion liters in 2022, according to the company.

Shell estimates that some 15%-20% of its total oil products are used for non-energy products such as lubricants and chemical products, which do not generate Scope 3 emissions.

On its central emission targets, Shell said it continues a drive to halve emissions from its operations (Scope 1 and 2) by 2030, compared with 2016 on a net basis. By the end of 2023, Shell said it had achieved more than 60% of this target and reduced the net carbon intensity of the energy products it sells by 6.3% compared with 2016, the third consecutive year it hit the target.

However, Shell maintained its overall target of achieving net-zero emissions by 2050 across all its operations and energy products to help support the Paris Climate Agreement goals.

“Today the world must meet growing demand for energy while tackling the urgent challenge of climate change,” CEO Wael Sawan said in a statement. “I am encouraged by the rapid progress in the energy transition in recent years in many countries and technologies, which reinforces my deep conviction in the direction of our strategy.”

Shell also confirmed it will invest $10 billion-$15 billion between 2023 and the end of 2025 in low-carbon energy solutions, which include spending on business lines such as electric vehicle charging, biofuels, renewable power, hydrogen and carbon capture and storage.

LNG, carbon credits

The energy major’s net carbon intensity in 2023 fell to 74 grams of CO2e/Megajoules, down by 2.6% and 6.3% from 2022 and 2016, respectively.

This fall was mainly achieved through a reduction in the average intensity of power sold and the use of carbon credits.

Most oil companies do not have Scope 3 emissions targets but instead have set net carbon intensity metrics.

Carbon intensity is seen as a less ambitious measure as net emissions can simply be lowered by selling more clean energy alternatives such as wind or solar power.

As it looks to expand its LNG business by 20%-30% by 2030 it will focus on reducing the carbon intensity of these operations, it added.

In its LNG joint venture in Canada, it plans to use use natural gas and renewable electricity while in the North Field Expansion project in Qatar it hopes to use CCS.

“We expect LNG will play a critical role in the transition,” said Sawan. “It continues to provide a secure supply of energy in many European countries. It also offers flexibility to electricity grids as wind and solar power grow, and opportunities to lower carbon emissions from industries such as cement and steel by replacing coal.”

Shell is an active participant in the voluntary carbon markets and in 2023, its net carbon intensity accounted for 20 million carbon credits, of which 4 million were linked to the sale of energy products, it said.


By: spglobal / Robert Perkins, 14 Mar 2024.

Big oil pursues African expansion despite challenges

Investments in new oil production have been stalling since about 2014. This has led many to suggest that higher prices for longer are on the cards, supported by anti-oil industry energy policies in key jurisdictions that are home to the largest private producers.

Yet a case might be made that although lower, the oil industry’s investments over the past decade have become better targeted at prospects with a good chance of a discovery. Either that, or they have become luckier than usual. Nowhere is this clearer than in Africa.

Earlier this month, French TotalEnergies said that it would buy a 33% stake in an exploration block offshore South Africa. Its partner QatarEnergy was also taking part in the acquisition in Block 3B/4B, with a 24% interest. The acquisition is part of the French supermajor’s exploration campaign in South Africa’s neighbor Namibia, which shares the Orange Basin with South Africa.

The Orange Basin has recently become something of a hot spot rivaling Guyana. The last couple of years have seen a string of discoveries revealing reserves estimated at around 5 billion barrels so far. And the rate of success has been unusually high, with 15 confirmed discoveries of commercial volumes of hydrocarbons in 17 exploration wells drilled since February 2022, per the Financial Times.

The largest discovery so far was made by TotalEnergies in the Venus field offshore Namibia, with estimated reserves of 3 billion barrels. No wonder the company is expanding in the area—even as forecasts for peak oil demand persist.

“Following the Venus success in Namibia, TotalEnergies is continuing to progress its Exploration effort in the Orange Basin,” the senior vice president for exploration at the French company, Kevin McLachlan, said last week, following the news of the South Africa investment.

“South Africa’s side of the Orange Basin resembles those of Namibia, it is highly prospective with at least two prospects in the northern region of the basin potentially containing millions of barrels of oil and associated gas,” according to Jonathan Salomo, who is the lead geologist for the West coast of South Africa at the country’s Petroleum Agency.

TotalEnergies and QatarEnergy are not alone in their pursuit of Africa’s hitherto untapped oil and gas riches. In January this year, a Canadian company specifically focused on Africa and named accordingly—Africa Oil Corp—completed the  purchase purcha of additional acreage in the same Orange Basin block that TotalEnergies and the Qatari state oil company are planning to expand into.

The block is estimated to contain prospective resources equal to some 4 billion barrels of oil equivalent, Offshore Energy reported back in January, with success probability ranging between 11% and 39% for the 24 prospects in the block.

Southern Africa is a hotspot, then, but it is not the only one in Africa. Offshore Energy again reported this month that a Houston-based energy company had struck a deal struck a deal to buy a Swedish exploration player to gain access to an offshore block in the Ivory Coast.

The target company, Svenska Petroleum Exploration, holds a 27% stake in the Baobab field offshore the Western African country that is most famous for its cocoa. The Baobab field is a producing one, yielding some 4,500 gross barrels of oil equivalent daily, with plans to expand this and extend the productive life of the field.

Oil is not the sole focus of international investors, either. Liquefied natural gas has become a priority for many as Europe joined the big buyers’ club two years ago, providing a huge boost to exploration, including in Africa, which already produces some LNG but could produce a lot more.

The Greater Tortue Ahmeyim LNG project, for instance, is about to enter operation in the third quarter of this year. Located on the border between Senegal and Mauritania, the project is led by BP in partnership with Kosmos Energy and the state energy companies of the two countries. GTA LNG will have an annual capacity of 2.3 million tons initially, to be expanded to 10 million tons over three phases.

Next year could also see the pre-final investment decision on the Tanzania LNG terminal, which aims to tap the country’s offshore gas resources. The price tag of the project is $42 billion and it is being developed by an all-star cast including Equinor, Shell, and Exxon. The capacity of the project is seen at a minimum of 10 million tons annually, potentially turning Tanzania into a sizeable player in the LNG market.

Oil and gas exploration in Africa is booming, in part because the continent contains a lot of the hitherto undiscovered global hydrocarbon reserves and in part because local governments appear to be a lot more open to the idea than the governments in Big Oil’s home countries and nearby jurisdictions.

Wood Mackenzie calculated last year that the energy industry is investing a total $800 billion in African oil and gas. The investment cycle began in 2010, the firm’s upstream research director said at an industry event in October, and will end with Africa emerging as a leading producer of LNG from floating terminals and a growing source of deepwater oil.

By Oilprice.com / Irina Slav, March 12, 2024

The Future of Hydrogen Testing for Fueling & Storage Applications

Hydrogen is traditionally used to produce methanol and refine petroleum. Currently, around 51% of hydrogen used in the economy goes to refineries, and 43% is used as an input for ammonia synthesis, primarily for production of fertilizers.1 The most common process for producing hydrogen is steam methane reforming. Fossil fuel-based, it consumes around 6% of the world’s natural gas and 2% of its coal.

However, this is changing as the production of green hydrogen (see sidebar) becomes a more viable option, and to some extent, an essential one as fossil fuels become more expensive, more unacceptable due to climate change and a bargaining tool in geopolitical conflicts. The world is looking to more sustainable energy production and ways to reach net zero emissions by the year 2050,2 and using hydrogen as fuel for heavy transport applications like trucks, buses and cars is an increasingly popular topic of conversation. However, using green hydrogen comes with its own challenges, including how to store and transport it and how to test and validate it where no standard testing and

Green hydrogen is used to describe hydrogen gas that is completely carbon-neutral and produced using renewable energy sources in a process called electrolysis. Here are its key characteristics:

1. Renewable energy source: Green hydrogen is produced using electricity generated only from renewable energy sources, such as wind, solar, hydroelectric or geothermal power.

2. Electrolysis: Green hydrogen is produced in an electrolyzer, which uses renewable energy to split water (H2O) into hydrogen (H2) and oxygen (O2) using an electric current.

3. Zero greenhouse gas emissions: Because the electricity used in the electrolysis process comes from renewable sources, the overall carbon footprint of green hydrogen production is minimal or even zero.

4. Versatile applications: Green hydrogen can be used in a wide range of applications, including fuel cell vehicles, industrial processes, electricity generation and energy storage. It can serve as an energy carrier, helping to store and transport renewable energy efficiently.

Sealing & Storage

Achieving a reliable seal involves using advanced materials and engineering techniques that can withstand the challenges posed by hydrogen’s small molecular size, which makes it difficult to seal and store as it can permeate through many materials. For certain applications, sealing materials must demonstrate a high level of compatibility and permeation resistance to prevent loss.

Another related issue is rapid gas decompression (RGD). In a high-pressure system, the small hydrogen molecules can be absorbed into a seal material. If the pressure in the system is suddenly relieved, gas trapped in the seal material can expand to match the new ambient pressure, potentially causing the seal to blister and crack as the gas tries to escape.

Finally, seals for different hydrogen systems need to withstand seriously tough environments, including high pressures of up to 14,504 pounds per square inch (psi) (e.g., in high-pressure valves) and extreme low temperatures down to -418 F (e.g., in liquid hydrogen storage and transportation).

Hydrogen: The Facts (Sidebar)

Hydrogen is a gas with an average atomic mass of 1.00794.

It is the first and most abundant element on the periodic table.

It is a constituent of most organic compounds, making up about 75% of the universe’s overall mass.

Hydrogen is colorless, odorless and tasteless.

The lightest of all elements, hydrogen consists of the smallest of all molecules, which means it can permeate through many materials.

Hydrogen is rarely available in its pure form on Earth, so it requires extraction from compounds containing hydrogen. Any compound with ‘H’ in its chemical formula has hydrogen as one of its constituents.

It is in hydrocarbons, methane (CH4) and water (H2O).

Setting the Standard

The evolving nature of the hydrogen market and value chain creates a demand for fuel storage standards. Experts are looking to existing standards for similar storage applications such as those used for oil and gas, which define acceptable characteristics for polymers in arduous conditions relative to permeation, RGD and general media compatibility. However, no existing standards provide a perfect fit, because they do not account for the conditions seen in typical applications throughout the hydrogen value chain.

Hydrogen is an explosive gas, and it must be tested with great care. Many seal manufacturers use third-party testing facilities. Helium is often used as a proxy for safer testing, and results are converted to hydrogen values. However, helium is not a perfect substitute, and some companies are investing in their own rigs that are approved to test hydrogen. These facilities offer comprehensive, hydrogen-specific standards and validation processes, and their experts can create custom solutions for whatever the user needs.

Seals are tested to International Organization for Standardization (ISO) 17268 for RGD, EC79 for components intended for hydrogen-powered vehicles, SAE J2600 for fueling connectors, nozzles and receptacles of compressed hydrogen surface vehicles, along with some permeation testing. Other tests include verification for a wide range of static sealing cross sections, including cyclic pressure, with pressure ranges from 101 to 10,877 psi and temperature ranges
from -65 F to 266 F.   

The current and future market needs for hydrogen sealing across the entire value chain production, transportation, storage and end use are broad, ranging from standard components to highly engineered solutions. Few OEMs have extensive experience in these areas, making a hydrogen component and sealing partner essential.

 By: pumpsandsystems / James Simpson, 03/12/2024.